AnglianRed 6,229 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Thats...interesting. I wonder what the margin of error is with those predicted finishes? Link to post Share on other sites
BoroAbroad 321 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Too close for comfort thats for sure. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
p_mards 1,363 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 22 minutes ago, BoroAbroad said: Too close for comfort thats for sure. Our 27% chance of relegation will massively increase if we lose on Saturday. I’m guessing a loss will swing it to 50% to 60% chance of relegation. Terrifying prospect. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Rioch's Braves 711 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 The only stat that will count is where we are at the end of the season, we've seen the gazette predictor, did anyone have Wigan beating West Brom away.. Everyone to their own but in football I don't take much notice of predictions, and probabilities.. Link to post Share on other sites
BoroMart 139 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 We need to look at getting some defensive solidity back to our side, we have to make ourselves tough to beat, then hope for a bit of magic up top. I think we will get out of this, but we need scrape a few points until Roberts and Ayala get, back they are good enough to be game changing for us. There are so many issues in our squad that whatever formation we put out, there will be weak or unsuitable players, but I think we need to find a way of protecting our defence better. 4-2-3-1 probably suits us as much as any formation right now. It allows us to get some experience and quality on the pitch, while minimising square pegs in round holes, or too many kids. For me, if we get Ayala and Roberts fit then: .............................Pears Shotton.......Ayala.........Moukoudi........Friend ...................Howson....Saville ........Roberts........Wing...........Coulson .....................Fletcher You could argue Stojanovic for Pears, Clayton for Saville, Nmecha on the right, Roberts at 10, Gestede at CF, but that just highlights how this formation is probably best suited for us. That team should be strong enough to keep us up, even with a few personnel changes. We need maybe 4 wins to stay up, so get it sorted, get it embedded. We need to free Howson from RB to strengthen the midfield, we need to get Wing further forward where he can shoot without leaving midfield bereft, we need Roberts and Ayala back asap. Link to post Share on other sites
BoroMart 139 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 45 minutes ago, p_mards said: Our 27% chance of relegation will massively increase if we lose on Saturday. I’m guessing a loss will swing it to 50% to 60% chance of relegation. Terrifying prospect. Maybe, but a win will swing it to 10% and a draw to 22%. I think there is a 50% chance of both us and Charlton surviving. My tip is Luton, Barnsley and Hull. Hull have dropped like a stone and the dressing room moral must be terrible losing their two best and most creative players. Luton and Barnsley have done well recently, but they are not good sides. We did well in December but it all fell apart again, and it will for those two teams. Link to post Share on other sites
ThisIzLeon 31 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 It's clear we are not in a good predicament, but i do feel like our table position makes the reality seem worse than it is. 22nd is bad, but we are only 5 points away from being 17th and we still have to play 3 of those teams. Out of the teams we are in competition with i feel like we have the easiest run (I know that no match is an easy match in the Championship). Not only that, i believe we are the better team out of everyone at the bottom. The optimist in me thinks we will get an 18th placement by the end of the season. The pessimist thinks a close 21st. Regardless, i am going to continue to remain as positive as i can. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
TAPOUT 361 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, ThisIzLeon said: It's clear we are not in a good predicament, but i do feel like our table position makes the reality seem worse than it is. 22nd is bad, but we are only 5 points away from being 17th and we still have to play 3 of those teams. Out of the teams we are in competition with i feel like we have the easiest run (I know that no match is an easy match in the Championship). Not only that, i believe we are the better team out of everyone at the bottom. The optimist in me thinks we will get an 18th placement by the end of the season. The pessimist thinks a close 21st. Regardless, i am going to continue to remain as positive as i can. We have gained 5 points in the last 8 games, playing the bottom 3 in that run. I admire your optimism but do not share it. The table doesnt lie at this time of year. 3 Link to post Share on other sites
SouthernSmoggie 4,223 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 Top half finish!!! 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
TheJew 2,886 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 I wouldnt be starting Nmecha! Link to post Share on other sites
GrimsbyBoro 1,959 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 34 minutes ago, TheJew said: I wouldnt be starting Nmecha! I would love to know who scouts these people. Link to post Share on other sites
mendieta420 988 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 2 hours ago, BoroMart said: .............................Pears Shotton.......Ayala.........Moukoudi........Friend ...................Howson....Saville ........Roberts........Wing...........Coulson .....................Fletcher I'd go for that but I think Clayton has to play. As much as I dislike what he represents, right now I think we need the work-rate and grind that no other midfielder brings. If there's a shot at goal he'll dive in front of it whereas someone like Saville turns their back. 15 minutes ago, GrimsbyBoro said: I would love to know who scouts these people. No one was saying that when he signed.. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
GrimsbyBoro 1,959 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, mendieta420 said: No one was saying that when he signed.. There were a fair few who pointed to his record with Preston (4 goals in 30 odd appearances I believe). Link to post Share on other sites
BoroSmoggie 2,678 Posted March 4, 2020 Share Posted March 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, mendieta420 said: I'd go for that but I think Clayton has to play. As much as I dislike what he represents, right now I think we need the work-rate and grind that no other midfielder brings. If there's a shot at goal he'll dive in front of it whereas someone like Saville turns their back. No one was saying that when he signed.. What a load of tosh. Saville is one of if not the midfielder that gets stuck in the most. He wins so many scrappy 50/50’s and a lot of headers. More then Clayton, McNair, Tav and Wing. I honestly don’t have a clue where you get that opinion of Saville from. Link to post Share on other sites
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