Jump to content
oneBoro Forum
Downsouth

Relegation Battle

Recommended Posts

Thats...interesting. I wonder what the margin of error is with those predicted finishes?

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 minutes ago, BoroAbroad said:

Too close for comfort thats for sure.

Our 27% chance of relegation will massively increase if we lose on Saturday. I’m guessing a loss will swing it to 50% to 60% chance of relegation. Terrifying prospect.

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The only stat that will count is where we are at the end of the season, we've seen the gazette predictor, did anyone have Wigan beating  West Brom away.. Everyone to their own but in football I don't take much notice of  predictions, and probabilities.. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We need to look at getting some defensive solidity back to our side, we have to make ourselves tough to beat, then hope for a bit of magic up top. I think we will get out of this, but we need scrape a few points until Roberts and Ayala get, back they are good enough to be game changing for us.

There are so many issues in our squad that whatever formation we put out, there will be weak or unsuitable players, but I think we need to find a way of protecting our defence better. 4-2-3-1 probably suits us as much as any formation right now. It allows us to get some experience and quality on the pitch, while minimising square pegs in round holes, or too many kids.

For me, if we get Ayala and Roberts fit then:

.............................Pears

Shotton.......Ayala.........Moukoudi........Friend

...................Howson....Saville

........Roberts........Wing...........Coulson

.....................Fletcher

You could argue Stojanovic for Pears, Clayton for Saville, Nmecha on the right, Roberts at 10, Gestede at CF, but that just highlights how this formation is probably best suited for us.

That team should be strong enough to keep us up, even with a few personnel changes. We need maybe 4 wins to stay up, so get it sorted, get it embedded. We need to free Howson from RB to strengthen the midfield, we need to get Wing further forward where he can shoot without leaving midfield bereft, we need Roberts and Ayala back asap.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
45 minutes ago, p_mards said:

Our 27% chance of relegation will massively increase if we lose on Saturday. I’m guessing a loss will swing it to 50% to 60% chance of relegation. Terrifying prospect.

Maybe, but a win will swing it to 10% and a draw to 22%.

I think there is a 50% chance of both us and Charlton surviving. My tip is Luton, Barnsley and Hull.  Hull have dropped like a stone and the dressing room moral must be terrible losing their two best and most creative players. Luton and Barnsley have done well recently, but they are not good sides. We did well in December but it all fell apart again, and it will for those two teams.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's clear we are not in a good predicament, but i do feel like our table position makes the reality seem worse than it is.

22nd is bad, but we are only 5 points away from being 17th and we still have to play 3 of those teams.

Out of the teams we are in competition with i feel like we have the easiest run (I know that no match is an easy match in the Championship). Not only that, i believe we are the better team out of everyone at the bottom.

The optimist in me thinks we will get an 18th placement by the end of the season. The pessimist thinks a close 21st.

Regardless, i am going to continue to remain as positive as i can.

 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, ThisIzLeon said:

It's clear we are not in a good predicament, but i do feel like our table position makes the reality seem worse than it is.

22nd is bad, but we are only 5 points away from being 17th and we still have to play 3 of those teams.

Out of the teams we are in competition with i feel like we have the easiest run (I know that no match is an easy match in the Championship). Not only that, i believe we are the better team out of everyone at the bottom.

The optimist in me thinks we will get an 18th placement by the end of the season. The pessimist thinks a close 21st.

Regardless, i am going to continue to remain as positive as i can.

 

We have gained 5 points in the last 8 games, playing the bottom 3 in that run. I admire your optimism but do not share it. The table doesnt lie at this time of year. 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
34 minutes ago, TheJew said:

I wouldnt be starting Nmecha!

I would love to know who scouts these people.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, BoroMart said:

 

.............................Pears

Shotton.......Ayala.........Moukoudi........Friend

...................Howson....Saville

........Roberts........Wing...........Coulson

.....................Fletcher

 

I'd go for that but I think Clayton has to play. As much as I dislike what he represents, right now I think we need the work-rate and grind that no other midfielder brings. If there's a shot at goal he'll dive in front of it whereas someone like  Saville turns their back.

 

15 minutes ago, GrimsbyBoro said:

I would love to know who scouts these people.

No one was saying that when he signed.. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, mendieta420 said:

No one was saying that when he signed.. 

There were a fair few who pointed to his record with Preston (4 goals in 30 odd appearances I believe). 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, mendieta420 said:

I'd go for that but I think Clayton has to play. As much as I dislike what he represents, right now I think we need the work-rate and grind that no other midfielder brings. If there's a shot at goal he'll dive in front of it whereas someone like  Saville turns their back.

 

No one was saying that when he signed.. 

What a load of tosh. Saville is one of if not the midfielder that gets stuck in the most. He wins so many scrappy 50/50’s and a lot of headers. More then Clayton, McNair, Tav and Wing. I honestly don’t have a clue where you get that opinion of Saville from.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Latest Posts

    • The last section is the exact reason Wigan won't win their appeal. The EFL simply refuse to acknowledge that their set of tests is not fit for purpose. They even then mention another case where that was evident (Bury).
    • The owners haven't massively overspent and run the club into the ground. From what I have seen Wigan is/are a fairly well run club in terms of finances (in a football sense anyway). But the owners have literally used the club for some very murky reason. They sold the club to a new owner (a fund) that the old owner was the majority shareholder in. Then immediately installed a new majority shareholder to the fund that now own Wigan. That shareholder bizarrely has no online footprint at all, other than everything related to him owning Wigan. This man then on the exact same day he has acquired the club has placed it in administration. It is that reason that Wigan are appealing the decision. All of the above of course was signed off by the EFL themselves. Which opens a whole new can of worms.
    • https://www.efl.com/news/2020/july/efl-update-wigan-athletic/   Here is the latest statement by the EFL on the Wigan situation. I agree with a lot of what they say up until they start trying to defend their fit and proper test.
    • Apologies when I said 1/4 of the creditors, I was meaning 25p out of the £. I should have made that clearer. In terms of our situation in 1986 I'm not too well versed with the details (as it was before my time). But I'm pretty sure we were going into Liquidation rather than administration.  I also imagine that the EFL regulations/rules have been updated since 1986.  
    • As far as I can tell it's the only argument that they can even try to make, and even that's weak AF.
×
×
  • Create New...